2026 - What expectations for European aviation?

Created on 09.04.2026 11:11

The European aviation industry has entered 2026 with moderate optimism, despite persistent economic and political risks. According to analysis from the International Air Transport Association (IATA), demand for air travel continues to grow, and the industry is gradually recovering and developing after challenging previous years.

In 2025 the aviation industry showed notable progress. Passenger traffic increased by more than five percent, and airlines transported a record number of travelers. At the same time, real ticket prices decreased on average, making air travel more accessible for many people. This growth reflects the continuing importance of aviation for global mobility, tourism, and economic development.

By the end of 2025, the aviation industry demonstrated significant progress. Passenger traffic increased by more than five percent and airlines carried a record number of passengers. Despite the increase in demand, real airfares on average decreased, making air travel more available for the population.

However, the industry's development is accompanied by a number of serious challenges. One of the main issues remains the shortage of new aircraft. The global order book has exceeded 17,000 aircraft, which represents approximately twelve years of current production. As a result, the average age of aircraft fleets is increasing, impacting environmental performance and the pace of fleet modernization.

Experts also highlight several key risks for aviation in 2026. These include increased trade conflicts and protectionism, increased regulation of the industry, and a challenging macroeconomic environment. Climate change, which leads to extreme weather events and disruptions to transport infrastructure, poses additional challenges.

At the same time, the global aviation industry is expected to maintain its positive dynamics. According to IATA forecasts, the total airline net profit could reach approximately 41 billion US dollars in 2026, setting a new industry record. However, the average profit per passenger remains relatively low—around 7.90 US dollars.

In Europe, special attention will be paid to several key areas: improving air traffic management system, developing airport infrastructure, protecting passenger rights, and the environmental transformation of the industry. Also, expanding the use of sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) and implementing international climate initiatives remain priorities.

Thus, 2026 could be a significant milestone for European aviation. Despite existing risks and economic constraints, the industry continues to adapt to new conditions, implement technological solutions, and search for a balance between sustainability, competitiveness, and accessibility of air transport.

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